Energy & Infrastructure
AI and Energy Competition Likely to Elevate US-China Tensions
Key Judgments
- China is pioneering integrated AI-energy expansion, combining renewables with rapid SMR development to secure scalable, dependable power and geopolitical leverage
- The US will likely face infrastructure and supply constraints that limit AI data center expansion and could constrain hyperscale capacity and leadership.
- Rising global energy competition will lead to both strategic opportunities and associated risks for energy infrastructure development, uranium supply chains, and green energy projects.
- As nuclear power increasingly supports AI, resource, supply chain (HALEU), and regulatory hurdles will intensify US-China competition.
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