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AI and Energy Competition Likely to Elevate US-China Tensions

Key Judgments
  • China is pioneering integrated AI-energy expansion, combining renewables with rapid SMR development to secure scalable, dependable power and geopolitical leverage
  • The US will likely face infrastructure and supply constraints that limit AI data center expansion and could constrain hyperscale capacity and leadership.
  • Rising global energy competition will lead to both strategic opportunities and associated risks for energy infrastructure development, uranium supply chains, and green energy projects.
  • As nuclear power increasingly supports AI, resource, supply chain (HALEU), and regulatory hurdles will intensify US-China competition.

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AI and Energy Competition Likely to Elevate US-China Tensions

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